Sarah Palin has endorsed Donald Trump as of January 19, 2016.
Palin 2016 Actions, Statements
This page presents a chronology of all Palin 2016 Actions and statements as they become known to us. Some Palin 2016 Actions and Statements suggest she intends to run, while others suggest she does not. Documenting everything provides the complete context to be considered when viewing Palin 2016 Actions and Statements against her final decision.
For 2015, FEC Disclosures for PACs are filed semi-annually. Filing deadlines are July 31, 2015 and January 31, 2016.
November 25, 2014
Legal Retainer of $4,500 paid to Baker & Hostetler per SarahPAC 2014 Year-End FEC Disclosure.
Baker & Hostetler is the law firm that was hired in 2011 to research filing deadlines when Sarah Palin was considering a 2012 run. The firm was paid a $3,000 legal retainer on August 29, 2011 and another $3,000 for legal services on November 28, 2011 per the SarahPAC 2011 Year-End FEC Disclosure.
January 22-23, 2015
Sarah Palin tells the Washington Post and ABC News she is seriously interested in running for President in 2016. In that same interview, she thrice said “it doesn’t necessarily have to be me.”
“I know that….It doesn’t necessarily have to be me, though, but no, America is definitely ready for real change. It doesn’t have to be myself, but yes … happy to drive that competition, because competition will make everyone better and produce more and be more candid regarding their solutions they will offer this country. I am very interested in that competitive process and, again, not necessarily me.”
She also said that night, “I want to help find that candidate (emphasis ours) that realizes that [their standing in the next election is] not what matters, that’s not what is at stake. What’s at stake is our children and our grandchildren’s future.”
January 27, 2015
Sarah Palin tells Hannity “in considering her own future, she is a Christian and would first seek inspiration and guidance from God. Following this would be approval from her family. If Sarah Palin were to take action toward a run, her small team would expand, she said. She declined to give Hannity odds of her running….[in the meantime] She plans to continue doing what she is doing to advance the Reagan conservative message.”
March 1, 2015
At the Iron Dog 2015 Finish, Sarah Palin answers KTUU’s Kyle Hopkins about running for local and state offices, Congress, and Senate:
“You never know. This is home. We’re anchored in Alaska forever and ever….That’s a really good question. And Kyle, believe it or not, nobody ever asks me that. They ask, ‘Are you going to run for president?’ They forget we’re Alaskan.”
April 15, 2015
SarahPAC sends a fund-raiser email asking donors to support the three declared Presidential candidates as of that date: Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marco Rubio. All three had received at least one Palin endorsement. US for Palin added a lengthy editor’s note on the state of the 2016 field.
April 25, 2015
SarahPAC donors began receiving mailers featuring a Boston Herald article, headlined “Make Way for Sarah.” The subhead reads: “GOP Analysts: a Palin ’16 Bid is no Joke.” The article had been published on January 25, 2015.
In our coverage of this mailer, we also debunked the myth that SarahPAC is a leadership PAC (a leadership PACs is run by candidates for or holders of federal offices) and explained a Palin candidacy could affect SarahPAC, because only an authorized candidate’s committee for federal office may contain the person’s name. We clarified the name issue on June 23, 2015.
May 16, 2015
Sarah Palin tells Ruben Jay, “oh, 2016. What am I going to be doing in 2016? Good question. We’ll see,” when asked if she is running for President in 2016. She was on board the USS Iowa honoring Navy SEALs at a SEAL-NSW Family Foundation fundraiser dinner and gala.
She expounded on that answer in an interview with ExtraTV that same afternoon. “We’ll see what happens in the next year or so….Don’t be surprised if you see… a few more names offer themselves up in the name of service….I think every single one so far, plus more, will be able to give Hillary a run for their money.” She said running is “a huge commitment with the family, with time, with resources.”
May 20, 2015
$7,500 Legal retainer paid to Baker & Hostetler, per SarahPAC 2015 Mid-Year FEC Disclosure.
June 10, 2015
Sarah Palin tells ExtraTV, when asked if she is running, “Never say never. Who knows? Stranger things have happened. There are still many months to go.”
June 22, 2015
SarahPAC will back anti- ObamaTrade conservatives in 2016, former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin said in a Facebook Status. See the heading, “SarahPAC and Campaign Committees” for the significance of this as it relates to a potential 2016 run.
July 31, 2015
“I think we have enough candidates,” Mark Levin said as he interviewed Sarah Palin… Sarah Palin agreed with him. The field now stands at 17. “I respect those who have gone through the fire….I love my freedom right now….I don’t know what position it would be if I were to run. In the meantime I want to help conservatives get elected.”
August 3, 2015
Sarah Palin responded with a “never say never, it’s still early” when asked by Rusty Humphries about her own 2016 intentions. This was the same answer she gave to ExtraTV more than two months ago. See June 10, 2015 entry.
August 4, 2015
SarahPAC releases Building America’s Future, a case study on Sarah Palin’s power as an endorser and a leader. The video begins with a stunning admission by John McCain and lays out Sarah Palin’s Mission Statement – to campaign for others. Four 2016 Presidential candidates – three of whom had Palin endorsements on prior runs for office – testified to her power as a leader. This video was produced by SarahPAC and reflects the PAC’s branding throughout. The “Grizzly Film Studios” moniker that graced the trailer is gone from the final release.
SarahPAC and Campaign Committees
On June 23, 2015, we called the FEC’s Information Division to ask for an interpretation of what constitutes a candidate’s name, under No Names of Candidates – 2 U.S.C. §432(e)(4) 102.14(a) (Page 12, bottom of right column):
The name of a nonconnected committee (including a leadership PAC) may not include the name of any candidate for federal office. (Only a candidate’s authorized committees may register with his or her name.) 102.14(a).
The name “Sarah” in SarahPAC constitutes her complete name, under 102.14(a), according to the FEC rep. This means if Sarah Palin were to launch a Presidential campaign (or a campaign for another federal office such as U.S. Senate or House), SarahPAC would need need to either be renamed or dissolved prior to a run. The authorized campaign committee would supersede the PAC; only the authorized campaign committee may contain any part of her name.
On August 12, 2011, Harry Reid was found in violation of this statute for having an authorized campaign and forming an unauthorized PAC bearing some part of his name.
In February 2015, SarahPAC released a re-designed mobile-first responsive website along with a dedicated Twitter account and Facebook Page. This action tells us SarahPAC will be a major presence for the foreseeable future.
Important Speeches, Events for Candidates, Potential Candidates
Iowa Freedom Summit, January 24 – Attended
CPAC 2015, February 26 – Attended
Iowa Ag Summit, March 7 – Did not attend.
NRA ILA Leadership Forum – April 10 – Cancelled, no reason given.
New Hampshire “First in the Nation Leadership Summit,” April 17 – 18 – Did not attend.
Iowa Faith and Freedom Coalition Summit – April 25 – Did not attend.
South Carolina Silver Elephant Dinner – May 1 – Did not attend.
South Carolina Republican Convention – May 2 – Did not attend.
South Carolina Freedom Summit – May 9 – Did not attend.
Iowa Lincoln Day Dinner – May 16 – Did not attend.
Southern Republican Leadership Conference – May 16 – Did not attend.
Gov. Rick Scott’s Florida Economic Growth Summit – June 2 – Did not attend.
Road to Majority Faith and Freedom Coalition – June 17 – 20 – Did not attend.
Ted Cruz – April 1 – Palin Endorsement: U.S. Senate 2012 – Win – Campaign Suspended May 3, 2016
Rand Paul – April 7 – Palin Endorsement: U.S. Senate 2010 – Win – Campaign Suspended February 3, 2016
Marco Rubio – April 13 – Palin Endorsement: U.S. Senate 2010 – Win – Campaign Suspended March 15, 2016
Carly Fiorina – May 4 – Palin Endorsement: U.S. Senate 2010 – Lose – Campaign Suspended February 10, 2016
Ben Carson – May 4 – Campaign Suspended March 4, 2016
Mike Huckabee – May 5 – Campaign Suspended February 1, 2016
Rick Santorum – May 27 – Campaign Suspended February 3, 2016
George E. Pataki – May 28 – Campaign Suspended December 29, 2015
Lindsey Graham – June 1 – Campaign Suspended December 21, 2015
Rick Perry – June 4 – Palin Endorsement: TX Governor 2010 – Win – Campaign Suspended September 11
Jeb Bush* – June 15 – Campaign Suspended February 20, 2016
Donald J. Trump* – June 16
Bobby Jindal* – June 24 – Campaign Suspended November 17, 2015
Chris Christie – June 30 – Palin Endorsement: NJ Governor 2009 – Win – Campaign Suspended February 10, 2016
Scott Walker* – July 13 – Palin Endorsement: WI Governor Recall, 2012 – Win- Campaign Suspended September 21
John Kasich – July 21- Campaign Suspended May 4, 2016
Jim Gilmore – July 30 – Campaign Suspended February 12, 2016
*Candidate formed Exploratory Committee prior to declaration of candidacy.
See FEC 2016 Presidential Form 2 Filers for complete list of candidates.
Note: Sarah Palin has not endorsed on any Presidential candidate.
Exploratory Committees are not required to file with the FEC and none of the GOP hopefuls exploring a run has filed. See the list of hopefuls who have filed exploratory committees with the FEC.
2016 Key Dates
First Debate: August 6, 2015
Hosted by Fox News. Must be top 10 in an average of the five most recent national polls in the run-up to the debate to be admitted. Source: Washington Post.
Fox News has added a Candidate Forum which aired 1 PM to 3 PM. Candidates must have at least 1% in the polls to be in Forum. The Main Debate aired 9 PM – 11 PM August 6 with its original requirements. Source: Mediaite.
Winner: Donald J. Trump in Time Magazine and Drudge Report Post-Debate Polls with 47% in both.
Second Debate: September 16, 2015
Hosted by CNN. Must declare and file with FEC by August 26; must have staff working in two out of four early states by August 26; must have visited two early states by August 26; must achieve at least 1% in three polls recognized by CNN. Debate in two tiers – top 10% and 1% minimum in recognized polls.
Third Debate: October 28, 2016
Hosted by CNBC.
Fourth Debate: November 10, 2015
Hosted by Fox Business.
Fifth Debate: December 15, 2015
Hosted by CNN
Sixth Debate: January 14, 2016
Hosted by Fox Business.
Seventh Debate: January 28, 2016
Hosted by Fox news.
Iowa Caucus: February 1, 2016
New Hampshire Primary: February 9, 2016
South Carolina Primary: February 20, 2016
Nevada Caucus: February 23, 2016
Super Tuesday: March 1, 2016
GOP Nominating Convention: July 18 – 21, 2016
Election Day: November 8, 2016
For all above dates, please refer to The Green Papers.
Ballot Access Signature Filing Deadlines
If a potential candidate misses even one ballot access signature filing deadline, it’s a sure bet they are not running. To miss a ballot access signature filing deadline as an actual candidate is the hallmark of an utterly incompetent and failing campaign. A candidate needs to be on the ballot in all 50 states, Washington, D.C., and the outlying islands and territories when running a proper campaign for President. All 50 states means exactly that: all 50 of them.
According to BallotPedia, the first ballot access signature filing deadline is September 30 and it is from South Carolina.
The South Carolina GOP delineates the September 30 deadline in a filing form posted online. Candidates must pay a $40,000 filing fee and pledge to support the GOP nominee. See the South Carolina GOP main website for more information on their processes.
Note that South Carolina is one of the four early states. This is the earliest filing deadline we are aware of.
A Palin 2016 run that would have any hope of winning, therefore, is absolutely impossible if she does not run prior to September 30, 2015 at 5 PM.
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